War with Iran?

The mannikins

It is almost 100% certain that Israel assassinated the head of Hamas’ political bureau and chief Hamas negotiator with Israel in Qatar, Ismail Haniyeh, in Tehran, on July 31 2024.

An attack on a guest of the Iranian state (for the new Iranian president’s inauguration) is an insult to Iran’s hospitality to a guest as well as an act of war . Iran has agreement from the UN that Iran has the right to respond to this act of aggression.

Many hypotheses have been put out there-particularly from US ‘Intelligence’ linked Western media like the New York Times to try and obvuscate who, how and why Haniyeh was murdered: a bomb planted in his Tehran apartment months ago, an Israeli F35 ‘stealth’ bomber (which would have needed US refuelling to get home again!) or perhaps an Israeli missile attack.

However the Iranians (who should know!) are saying that the attack was carried out using a short range missile. Meaning that the attack was launched from Iranian soil with weapons and targetting mechanisms brought in from a foreign country.

Iran, understandable so, not only accuses Israel, but also the US, of involvement in the attack. Both the US and UK attempts to portray this attack as an attack of self’defence’ by Israel, (a ridculous and patently untrue international law perspective) indicates the depth of their complicity in Israel’s brutal genocide in Palestine and its provocatons in the rest of the Middle East.

When looking at motive and opportunity, one should always look first at the historical actions of the key players . It is important to recall that the UK was instrumental in the founding of Israel and its decision to permit Zionists to expel and murder thousands upon thousands of Palestininans since 1918 and especially during and after the Nakba of 1948.

Since 1948 the US has played a key role in arming Israel to ensure it could attack and expand its borders into neighbouring countries and intensify its barbarity to Palestinians still living in what is now Israel and its concentration camps in the West Bank and Gaza. Without those US weapons, the savagery of the Zionist regime could not have continued. Perhaps Israel could have become a multi-ethnic peaceful country respected by its neigbours and the Arab world- but that is certainly not what the US and its Western allies have wanted.

Israel has been an effective bulwark against the expansion of anti-colonialism and an effective destabliser in the region to ensure middle eastern states do not become more independent and powerful in their own right. The major exception to that situation, is of course,Iran who was able to throw off the US installed ‘Shah’ and his brutal CIA trained Savak secret police in the revolution of 1979.

Since the brutal October 7 2023 attacks by Hamas from Gaza into Israel, the US and UK have unconditionally supported the mass-murder of many thousands of Gazans by Israeli “Defence’ forces. That support has consisted not only of the bombs and missiles needed to flatten the Gaza Strip and its health and education facilities, but also the targeting of civilians using the Five Eyes global surveillance system. Britan and the UK are unequivocally a party to Israel’s ongoing genocide in Palestine.

Should Israel be forced to sue for peace in a war against Iran and the Lebanese Hezbollah movement, as well as Hamas and the Iraqi Shiite groups; the UN’s International Court of Justice could then come calling on those who facilitated that genocide, once Israeli politicians and Israeli Defence Force military personnel have been indicted. It is vital then for Britain and the US to not only ensure their Israeli proxy remains intact, but also remains undefeated. Part of the process to ensure Israel is not weakened or defeated is to assist Israel in its wars against its neighbours; including its multiple assassinations.

The US is desperately trying to pretend that it is trying to negotiate a peace settlement between Hamas and Israel, but its support in the UN and elsewhere for the killing of the Hamas negotiator is a strong clue that they have absolutely no intent of ther ebeing any real negotiations that might result in a just peace and freedom for Palestinians in Gaza; just as the US has pretended for more than 50 years to be the ‘honest broker’ in negotiations between the Palestinians and Israel, whilst all along fervently supporting Israel’s murderous intent and continued expansion of its territories.

In addition, the current US administration headed by Joe Biden with Parkinsonian dementia who confesses to be a Zionist (particularly given that over $4 million has been donated to him in the last 30 years by the Zionist US AIPAC organisation to ensure his devotion to the Zionist cause) has been unconditional in its support for Israel’s barbarity, while making little public statements of its disapproval .. However his Secretary of State Anthony Blinken as an arch-zionist and neocon himself, has apparently no moral scruples about supporting mass-murder and has led the ongoing charge to ensure that Congress and the US administration continues to pour weapons into Israel.

It is more than likely that Vice President Kamala Harris will SAY things to try and appease those Democrats opposed to the Israeli genocide, but in reality keep up the funding and weapons supply to Israel, as has been the case for more than 50 years.

As noted previously- look at the history to understand the current intent of the West in the Middle East and the possible future.. So while alternative Western media are talking about Israel’s Netanyahu trying to draw the US into a war with Iran, the historical pattern indicates that the US has been involved in all these Israeli provocations from the start, while hiding behind the smokescreen of Israel’s Prime Minister Netanyahu’s foolish pomposity, psychopathy and bravado.

The 2009 US strategic document “Which Path to Persia” from the US Brookings Institute so-called ‘think-tank’, is the blueprint for the US’ attempt to once again take control of Iran and its oil.

Others have suggested the US plan is to attack Iran’s nuclear facilities so that it cannot make a nuclear bomb. Both Israel and the US, and most recently Anthony Blinken, have been predicting that Iran will have a nuclear bomb any minute now for the past two decades.

Netanyahu in 2012 to the UN

Iran clearly has the expertise, the scientists (despite repeated assassinations by Israelis over the past decade) and the capacity to produce a nuclear weapon, but has publicly chosen not to. Iran’s religious council and the Ayatollah has made it very clear that it views the possession of nuclear weapons as anathema to the Iranian muslim state, and a public fatwa has been issued. A fatwa by the Ayatollah is not something that can be disregarded by any Iranian. So the ‘de-nuclearise’ Iran meme is undoubtedly one more of the red herrings thrown out by the West for Iran’s power in the Middle East to be neutralised and its oil once again appropriated by the West.

Having said that Iran is unlikely to ever acquire nuclear weapons, Iran’s missile development and its capacity to wreak damage across the Middle East is now enormous. While Israel and the West played down the impact of Iran’s previous April 2024 strike on Israel after their earlier attack on Iran’s Damascus Embassy, the evidence suggest that (along with Iran’s tightly targeted previous strikes on US military bases in Iraq in 2020 after the US murder of Iran’s General Qasem Soleimani who had had the temerity to destroy the US resourced ISIS entity in Iraq and much of Syria), Iran has the missile numbers, range and targetting to do extensive damage to both Israel and the US fleet and its military camps in the Middle East.

Thus the US is increasingly concerned about Iran’s growing influence both regionally and internationally. China’s brokerage of a peace deal between Saudi Arabia and Iran in March 2023 has greatly limited US leverage in the region, as well potentially curtailing Saudi needs for lucrative US arms supply deals. In addition, Iran’s application to join the BRICS economic union, will susbtantially expand the Iranian economy and limit the enormous impact that US and European sanctions have had on Iran’s economy of the past few decades in their attempts to destabilise Iran so that they could once again take control of Iran’s resources.

To make matters worse for the West, the September 2023 security arrrangement between Iran and the Russian Federation has greatly strenthened Iran’s defence and offence opportunities. The reported (but not verified) plane loads of Russian military equipment being airlifted to Iran in the past few days are likely evidence of that security deal.

Will President Sisi in Egypt and the King of Jordan once again support the Israelis and the US by helping to shoot down Iranian missiles targetting Israel? One suspects that the Jordanian population ( a majority of whom are of Palestinian origin) will not treat their sycophantic king so kindly this time, and many in Egypt will question Sisi’s loyalty to the Arab cause of freedom for Palestinians.

As of 5th July, the world waits upon Iran’s response to the killing in Tehran. What unfolds from here is completely unpredictable.

It might be hoped that a response from Iran might be convincing enough for the Israelis to abandon both their genocidal war in Gaza and their ongoing attacks on their neighbours.

But while the West continues to enthusiastically support their barbaric and criminal actions, that appears a folorn hope-for now.

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Links

https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2024/08/02/730563/Criminal-Zionist-gang-to-be-punished-for-Haniyeh-killing–Iran-FM-tells-EU-s-Borrell

https://www.dropsitenews.com/p/haniyeh-eyewitness-assassination-projectile-bomb

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/CIA_activities_in_Iran

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